2018 FIFA World Cup Group D Table
All Matches of Group D
Local Time
June 16,2018
Saturday
16:00 MSK
UTC Time
June 16,2018
Saturday
13:00 UTC
Venue
Otkritie Arena
Moscow
UTC+3
|
Argentina | 1:1 | Iceland |
| | |
Match No. 7 |
Venue
Otkritie Arena
Moscow
UTC+3
Local Time
June 16,2018
Saturday
21:00 USZ1
UTC Time
June 16,2018
Saturday
19:00 UTC
Venue
Kaliningrad Stadium
Kaliningrad
UTC+2
|
Croatia | 2:0 | Nigeria |
| | |
Match No. 8 |
Venue
Kaliningrad Stadium
Kaliningrad
UTC+2
Local Time
June 21,2018
Thursday
21:00 MSK
UTC Time
June 21,2018
Thursday
18:00 UTC
Venue
Nizhny Novgorod Stadium
Nizhny Novgorod
UTC+3
|
Argentina | 0:3 | Croatia |
| | |
Match No. 23 |
Venue
Nizhny Novgorod Stadium
Nizhny Novgorod
UTC+3
Local Time
June 22,2018
Friday
18:00 MSK
UTC Time
June 22,2018
Friday
15:00 UTC
Venue
Volgograd Arena
Volgograd
UTC+3
|
Nigeria | 2:0 | Iceland |
| | |
Match No. 24 |
Venue
Volgograd Arena
Volgograd
UTC+3
Local Time
June 26,2018
Tuesday
21:00 MSK
UTC Time
June 26,2018
Tuesday
18:00 UTC
Venue
Krestovsky Stadium
Saint-Petersburg
UTC+3
|
Nigeria | 1:2 | Argentina |
| | |
Match No. 39 |
Venue
Krestovsky Stadium
Saint-Petersburg
UTC+3
Local Time
June 26,2018
Tuesday
21:00 MSK
UTC Time
June 26,2018
Tuesday
18:00 UTC
Venue
Rostov Arena
Rostov on Don
UTC+3
|
Iceland | 1:2 | Croatia |
| | |
Match No. 40 |
Venue
Rostov Arena
Rostov on Don
UTC+3
Group D Analysis
This section will be available after 4 matches out of 6 have been completed.
Team | After 4 matches chances to: |
Advance | Win | be Runners-Up |
Croatia | 100% | 93.7% | 6.3% |
Argentina | 30.1% | 0% | 30.1% |
Nigeria | 54.8% | 6.3% | 48.5% |
Iceland | 15.9% | 0% | 15.9% |
How is the probability to advance calculated?
To measure the probability to advance (win, score 2nd place) after 4 matches have been played, we simulate all possible results of last two remaining matches. Assuming not more 5 goals can be scored by one team. So, we simulate results such as: 5:0, 5:1, 5:2, ... 0:0, ... 1:5, 0:5 for both remaining matches and we observe how many results (out of all) give chances to advance (win, be 2nd).
Note, this is not very sophisticated algorithm (e.g. - we assume all results are equally probable regardless of teams skills) - do not use it for betting purposes.
Graphical Analysis of Teams Rankings in Group D after 4 out of 6 matches
Each square represents different scores of both remaining matches in the Group D - Nigeria vs Argentina, Iceland vs Croatia. Colors indicate advancing teams (see legend below). Table assumes, not more than 5 goals will be scored by one team.
See analysis of other groups:
Group A,
Group B,
Group C,
Group D,
Group E,
Group F,
Group G,
Group H
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Legend:
1.Nigeria 2.Croatia
1.Croatia 2.Iceland
1.Croatia 2.Nigeria
1.Croatia 2.Argentina