This section will be available after 4 matches out of 6 have been completed.
See also: Group Ranking Criteria and Fair Play Points
How is France's probability to advance calculated?
To measure France's probability to advance (win, score 2nd place) after 4 group matches have been played, we simulate all possible results of last two remaining matches. Assuming not more 5 goals can be scored by one team. So, we simulate results such as: 5:0, 5:1, 5:2, ... 0:0, ... 1:5, 0:5 for both remaining matches and we observe how many results (out of all) give chances to advance (win, be 2nd).
Note, this is not very sophisticated algorithm (e.g. - we assume all results are equally probable regardless of teams skills) - do not use it for betting purposes.
Graphical Analysis of Teams Rankings in Group C after 4 out of 6 matches
Each square represents different scores of both remaining matches in the Group C - Denmark vs. France, Australia vs. Peru. Colors indicate team rankings (see legend below). Table assumes, not more than 5 goals will be scored by one team.
See analysis of other groups:
Do You Like This Graph? Follow Us on Facebook to get more: Every Day in the World Cup 2018
1. France 2.Australia or Denmark